Page 37 - Market Analysis Report of Optical Communications Field in China & Global market 2020
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Figure 1: The number and permeability of 5G connections   of 5G equipment suppliers. In addition, due to the recent
                        globally and in South Korea              political actions of the United States against Huawei,

                                                                 European countries such as the United Kingdom also
                                                                 announced to abandon the use of Huawei equipment. The
                                                                 spin-off of Huawei's equipment will also further slow 5G
                                                                 progress in Europe.


                                                                 U.S. carrier T-Mobile plans to deploy 5G in the 600MHz
                                                                 band, while Sprint plans to deploy 5G in the 2.5ghz band.
                                                                 Both companies' 5G bands are in the middle and low bands,
                                                                 with good coverage. T-mobile and Sprint will combine
                                                                 to create one of the broadest and highest-capacity mobile
                                                                 networks in U.S. history, spending $30 billion over the next
                                                                 three years to build new networks and deploy new services,
                                                                 expecting to increase average speeds in the U.S. 15-fold by
                                                                 2024.

                                                                 2. Excluding China, global FTTH demand is still a
                                                                 growth point in the market
                                                                 Under the promotion of national broadband strategy,
                                                                 mainstream operators in North America, Europe, Southeast
                                                                 Asia, South Asia and other regions have been accelerating
                                                                 fixed-line broadband scale construction. Indonesia's
                                                                 National Broadband Plan and the Palapa project, for
                                                                 example, are expected to increase fixed broadband
                                                                 penetration to 13.4% by 2020; Indian telecom operator
                                                                 Reliance Jio is pushing forward construction FTTH with
                                                                 optical fiber base, and plans to provide FTTH service in
                                                                 more than 1100 cities. Germany aims to have high-speed
          will have launched 600,000 5G base stations, China Mobile
          will add 250,000 new 5G base stations, and China Telecom   Internet access for 99 percent of households, including
          and China Unicom are expected to build more than 250,000   rural areas, by the end of 2021. Deutsche Telekom expects
          new 5G base stations in 2020. In other words, the goal of   to spend €2bn a year on all-fibre deployments in the future,
          the three major carriers this year is to achieve 5G network   adding 2m fibre broadband subscribers a year. Britain,
          coverage in all cities and regions. No matter independent   France, Italy and other major European countries have
          networking or non-independent networking, 5G requires at   also introduced national policies to accelerate FTTH
          least 1.5-2 times as many outdoor macro stations as 4G. In   construction.
          2020, China will build more than 600,000 5G base stations,   3. Global 4G investment excluding China remained
          and after 2021, it will form a scale of one million stations   stable
          per year.                                              As deploying 5G, Telecom operators are still investing in

            Figure 2: 5G CAPEX by China's three major operators in   LTE network improvements, including carrier aggregation,
                                  2020                           4×4 MIMO, and VoLTE, LTE-A/LTE-A Pro. According to
                                                                 statistics, 141 operators around the world will launch 4G
                                                                 commercial networks from 2020, in addition, 64 operators
                                                                 are investing heavily in VoLTE network and 37 operators
                                                                 are investing heavily in LTE-A (LTE-Advanced) network.
                                                                 Moreover, 159 operators worldwide are investing in nB-
         Current Status of 5G in Europe and America              iot networks, and 69 operators are investing in eMTC
         2020 was supposed to be the start of the era of 5G      networks. Therefore, although the construction of 4G base
         infrastructure and spectrum allocation in the European   stations in China has come to an end and is expected to
         Union. But now, because of COVID-19 epidemic, EU        decrease in 2020 compared with 2019, the investment in
         countries' 5G plans have been put on hold. The EU's     4G in other global markets except China remains stable.
         5G construction will lag behind China and other Asian
         countries by at least a year or two, as the COVID-19    II: China Optical Communication Market
         outbreak in Europe is likely to last longer than in Asia; and   1. Due to COVID-19 uncertainty, 5G will play a
         there is no consensus among EU countries on the selection   more prominent role as a new economic engine
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