Page 39 - Market Analysis Report of Optical Communications Field in China & Global market 2019
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Figure 3: China's 5G direct economic output structure in   construction of 3G/4G networks and fixed networks. For
                     2020-2025 (unit: 100 million yuan)          instance, Indian operator Reliance Jio is making energetic
                                                                 efforts for the construction of FTTH based on optical fiber.
                                                                 It plans to provide FTTH in more than 1000 cities, and try
                                                                 to introduce 5G into India. Moreover, the implementation
                                                                 of Indonesia’s National Broadband Plan encourages
                                                                 the Indonesian government to increase investment in
                                                                 communication infrastructure, especially in the construction
                                                                 of submarine cable, land cable and FTTH. It is estimated
                                                                 that by the end of 2019, the urban broadband penetration
                                                                 rate will increase to 30%, and 71.5% of the household
                                                                 bandwidth will reach 20MBps. Also, the popularization
                                                                 of broadband access rate of 1Gbps will be realized for all
                                                                 buildings. In addition, China Telecom cooperates with
         increased. By the end of June, the total number of      Telco and Mislatel in Philippines in network construction
         fixed Internet broadband access users of the three basic   and launches 4G and 5G network operation services. As the
         telecommunication enterprises had reached 435 million,   fourth largest country in Europe, Germany has 4.35 million
         with a net increase of 27.37 million in the first half of the   fiber kilometers of cable laid in 2018, and is expected to
         year. Among them, 396 million FTTH/O users account for   have 4.95 million fiber kilometers of cable laid in the end
         91% of the total fixed Internet broadband access users. The   of 2019, with an increase of about 14.1% year on year.
         number of users with access rate above 100Mbps reaches   Overseas markets, especially developed countries in Europe
         335 million, accounting for 77.1% of the total number of   and the United States, have a strong demand for optical
         users, 3.4 and 6.8 percentage points higher than that in the   fiber and cable. It is estimated that the global demand
         first quarter and the end of last year respectively.    for optical cables is 470 million fiber kilometers, and the
                                                                 demand for optical cables in the Chinese market will drop
         II.Analysis of Optical Communication                    from the peak of 324 million fiber kilometers in 2017 to
         Market in 2019                                          230 million fiber kilometers in 2019.
         (I) Market Scale and Characteristics of Optical
         Fiber and Cable                                         However, due to the change of supply and demand in the


         1. Current Situation of Global Optical                  Chinese market, the price of optical fiber cable is decreased.
         Fiber and Cable industry                                Clients in the overseas market take a wait-and-see attitude
         Global  Demand  for  Optical  Fiber  and  Cable  is     towards the price of optical fiber cable in the Chinese
         Flourishing                                             market and expect a lower price. At present, 235 operators
         Under the promotion of national policies, telecommu-    in 93 countries are investing in 5G, and 5G construction
         nication operators in developed and developing countries   is gradually transforming from pilot to scale construction.
         are  speeding  up  the  construction  of  FTTH  and  4G   The demand growth and reasonable price recovery are in
         networks, and the deployment of 5G. In countries like   expectation after the large-scale construction of 5G.
         Southeast Asia and Europe, the economic development
         and local national policies are vigorously promoting the   Main Driving Force of Demand Growth of Optical
                                                                 Fiber and Cable
                  Figure 4: Proportion of fixed Internet broadband access users with   In 2019, mainstream operators have launched
                  FTTH/O and 100Mbps or above access rate from 2018/6 to 2019/6  5G commercial plans and services around the
                                                                           world. In order to meet the needs of high speed,
                                                                           low latency and super connection, the demand
                                                                           for optical fiber and optical cable will grow with
                                                                           the fiber-optic connection of base stations and
                                                                           the new construction of large-capacity carrier
                                                                           network.
                                                                           Optical fiber, as the neural network in the 5G
                                                                           intelligent era, plays an important role in 5G
                                                                           network transmission. With the continuous
                                                                           expansion of 4G and 5G network wireless access
                                                                           hubs, optical fibers will be in huge demand to
                                                                           meet the growing needs. The demand for optical
                                                                           fiber will increase substantially with the 5G
                                                                           network construction in the next 5 to 10 years.
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